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2024-12-13 12:05:39

At present, I am optimistic about tomorrow's trend. It is stronger than expected to maintain this trend today. Although the index has not increased much, the short-term trend at the daily level is still upward, and the quantity can be maintained. Should it continue to rise? The probability of continuing to close up tomorrow is still very high, and the short-term trend of the 60-minute level is to go well again.This is a real long-term positive, which is manifested in three aspects: first, it is conducive to attracting investors to invest in the broad-based index through personal pension accounts; Second, it is helpful to inject new long-term funds into the capital market, optimize the investor structure, stabilize the market and promote the healthy development of the capital market; Third, it reflects the care of the regulatory authorities for the capital market and helps to enhance investors' confidence.If we can continue to cut interest rates in December, it will undoubtedly be a big plus for A shares, and the pressure on the exchange rate will be further reduced, which may become a turning point in the short term.


Yesterday, the market opened higher and went lower, and the shape looked very poor. Many friends today estimated that they were prepared to continue the downward adjustment, but in fact, the market was still relatively stable today. Although the increase was not large, there was no sharp diving in the plate, as if it were held by a hand. Yes, it is really held up now, because it is now in a state of high control, so everyone has seen the recent trend. Excluding yesterday, it is still relatively stable. How many investors expect the market to fall down and get on the bus, but it just won't come down. The 3150 gap below is counted this week, and it has not been replenished for 11 weeks. It cannot be said that the market is not strong. So can the market continue to rise tomorrow? Let's make a detailed analysis and give you a reference.Federal Reserve's December OutlookSo will heavyweights and large-cap stocks exert their strength? Looking at the trend of SSE 50, it is still very possible, because at present, the monthly trend of SSE 50 index is intact, and the index remains above the offensive line and above the long-term trend line. At present, it has the foundation to start a big market. Looking back, the index must remain above the monthly offensive line in all big markets, so this is a prerequisite. Since it is also available now, we can certainly expect something.


At present, there is nothing wrong with the medium and long-term trend, so don't worry too much. Strategically, we will continue to watch more. Tactically, we will follow the trend and take the initiative step by step.The latest CPI data will be released tonight. The market expects the overall inflation rate to be 2.7%, 0.1 percentage point higher than that in October, and the core inflation rate is expected to be 3.3%, which is the same as that in October. Although the forecast data shows that the suppression of inflation by monetary policy is close to stagnation, it has dropped sharply compared with the previous peak of 9%. At present, the latest FEDWATCH data shows that the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates next Tuesday is over 80%.

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